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Trading with ICHIMOKU September 8, 2009

Posted by ilmusaham in Shared Lessons Learned, Trading Resources, Useful Tools, from CLUB.
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2 comments

Lesson from Djoni Agus:

  • June 10th 2008:  STRONG SELL SIGNAL
  • March 18th 2009:  STRONG BUY SIGNAL, golden cross above the Kumo
  • Sept 07th 2009: WEAK SIGNAL, golden cross still above the Kumo

ICHIMOKU_JKSE_JUNE_1008_MAR_18SEPT07

Ichimoku AFL, source: Amibroker AFL Library

_SECTION_BEGIN(“IchimokuBrian20080624″);
/*
ICHIMOKU CHART
A bullish signal occurs when the Tenkan-Sen (RED line) crosses the Kijun-Sen (BLUE line) from below.
Conversely, a bearish Signal is issued when the Tenkan-Sen crosses the Kijun-Sen from above.
Support and resistance levels are shown as Kumo (or clouds). The Kumo can also be used to help identify
the prevailing trend of the market. If the price line is above the Kumo, the prevailing trend is said to be up,
while if the price is below the Kumo, the prevailing trend is said to be down. The default colour here for the clouds is
light blue – but the hue, etc, parameters can be adjusted to suit the user’s display.
The theory is that the bullish signals are strong when the TL,SL cross occurs above the cloud; it is medium within the
cloud, and weak if it occurs below the cloud. These are shown here as green solid up arrows, green up triangles and hollow
indigo up arrows respectiveley.
Conversely, the bearish signals are said to be strong when the cross is below the cloud and weak when above. These signals
are plotted as down red arrows or triangles, or brown hollw down arrows.
As an attempt at clarity on a cluttered plot, all signal arrows, etc are plotted within the clouds (rather than near the
candles as is normal). The user can also toggle between a candle plot or a line plot of the close price, to reduce
the clutter somewhat.
A final feature of the Ichimoku chart is the VIOLET line, or Chikou Span (or Lagging Span). It is said that this line
indicates the strength of the buy or sell signal. If the Chikou Span is below the closing price and a sell signal occurs,
then the strength is with sellers, otherwise it is a weak sell signal. Conversely, if a buy signal occurs and the Chikou
Span is above the price, then there is strength to the upside. These considerations could  be coupled with the other
signals, if desired, but this has not been done here.
Final Comment: This program produces quite a pretty graph – but I have not so far been impressed with the signals!
I have seen many weak signals followed by strong moves and strong signals followed by weak moves. Typical of technical
analysis I guess. If anyone finds the Ichimoku approach useful I would be keen to hear about it.
*/
SL = ( HHV( H, 26 ) + LLV( L, 26) )/2;// standard, base, or kijun-sen line
TL = ( HHV( H, 9 ) + LLV( L, 9 ) )/2;// turning, conversion, or tenkan-sen line
DL = Ref( C, 25 ); // delayed close price, or chikou span
Span1 = Ref( ( SL + TL )/2, -25 ); //Span1 and Span2 define the clouds
Span2 = Ref( (HHV( H, 52) + LLV(L, 52))/2, -25);
CStyle = ParamToggle(“Showcandles?”,”N|Y”);//Choose Candle or Line for Price plot
hue = Param(“Hue”,140,0,255,1);
sat = Param(“Sat”,100,0,255,1);
bri = Param(“bri”,220,0,255,1);
MaxGraph = 8;
Refline = (Span1 + Span2)/2;
Graph0 = Refline;
Graph0Style = 16;//No line plotted, used as a reference line for arrows etc.
if(Cstyle )
Plot(C,”Price”,colorBlack,styleCandle);
else
Plot(Close,”Close”,colorBlack,styleThick);
Plot(SL,”SL”,colorBlue,styleThick);
Plot(TL,”TL”,colorRed,styleThick);
Plot(DL,”DL”,colorLime,styleThick);
PlotOHLC(Span1,Span1,Span2,Span2,”Cloud”,ColorHSB(Hue,sat,bri),styleCloud);
above = IIf(TL>Span1 AND TL>Span2,1,0);
within = IIf(TL>Span1 AND TL<Span2,1,0);
below = IIf(TL<Span1 AND TL<Span2,1,0);
Buy = Cross(TL,SL) AND (DL>Close);
Sell = Cross(SL,TL) AND (DL<SL);
StrongBuy = Buy AND above;
MediumBuy = Buy AND within;
WeakBuy = Buy AND below;
StrongSell = Sell AND below;
MediumSell = Sell AND within;
WeakSell = Sell AND above;
IIf( (StrongBuy),PlotShapes(shapeUpTriangle*StrongBuy,colorGreen),0);
IIf( (MediumBuy),PlotShapes(shapeUpArrow*MediumBuy,colorGreen),0);
IIf( (WeakBuy),PlotShapes(shapeHollowUpArrow*WeakBuy,colorIndigo),0);
IIf( (StrongSell),PlotShapes(shapeDownTriangle*StrongSell,colorRed),0);
IIf( (MediumSell),PlotShapes(shapeDownArrow*MediumSell,colorRed),0);
IIf( (WeakSell),PlotShapes(shapeHollowDownArrow*WeakSell,colorBrown),0);
_SECTION_END();

Larry Williams OOPS System May 27, 2008

Posted by ilmusaham in Trading Resources, Trading System, Tutorial.
Tags: , , ,
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Larry Williams OOPS System….

I also posting the system definitions….

Please have a look and revert with interpretations
….

//OOPS system
//A first Attempt
//A Second Attempt

SetTradeDelays(0,0,0,0);

shortsetup=Open > Ref(H,-1);
buysetup=Open < Ref(L,-1);

ShortPrice=ValueWhen(shortsetup, Ref(H,-1));
BuyPrice=ValueWhen(buysetup,Ref(L,-1));

Buy=buysetup AND BuyPrice;
Sell= C;
Short=shortsetup AND SellPrice;
Cover= C;

Equity(1);

Filter=1;
AddColumn(IIf(buysetup==1,BuyPrice,0),”BuyPrice”);
AddColumn(IIf(shortsetup==1,ShortPrice,0),”ShortPrice”);
AddColumn(Shortsetup,”ShortSetup”);
AddColumn(Buysetup,”BuySetup”);
/***************************************************/

SYSTEM DEFINITIONS:

This system by Larry Williams..I believe ( was / is ) set up to be a day Trading system…

Here is what I have in the way of the systems definitions.

The OOPS system:
While originally conceived as a day trading system, Larry now prefers to trade it past the end of the day, holding his position sometimes for 2 or 3 days.

The SETUP:
To trade OOPS, just watch the open. You will have a potential trade any time a market opens by gapping above the previous day’s high or gapping below the previous day’s low.

  • If the open is above the previous day’s high, you have a potential SELL. (… Shortsetup=Open > ref(High,-1)…) .
  • If the open is below the previous day’s low, you have a potential BUY.  (…Buysetup=Open < ref(Low,-1)…).

What you are looking for is the market to close the Gap. At approximately that point, you enter your position and hold until the close.

The theory of the trade is that the gap is caused by the public being too enthusiastic on the opening and causing a gap that cannot be sustained. When the gap closes, those on the wrong side of the market say, OOPS, and rush to cover their trades. This causes an increase in momentum that lasts for the rest of the day.
There are several issues to consider in trading the system. First is the question of how big the gap should be before a trade becomes attractive. Obviously, the smaller the gap, the less attractive the trade appears and the more difficult it is to execute. Therefore, you should require some minimum size opening gap before you would consider a trade.

The ENTRY:
Second is the question of exactly where do you enter. Larry recommends entering at the previous day’s extreme, exactly at the point where the gap is closed. …..( ******….I believe my original code logic posted last night was in error here (…

BuyPrice=ValueWhen(shortsetup,Ref(H,-1))…) or
(…ShortPrice=ValueWhen(buysetup,Ref(L,-1))…)….should have
read..(buyprice=valuewhen(buysetup, ref(L,-1)) and
shortprice=valuewhen(shortsetup,ref(H,-1))….***).

The PROTECTIVE STOP:
Third is the question of a protective stop. Of course, you should always use one. A natural point would be the day’s extreme high at the time you go short or the day’s extreme low at the time you go long. A money management stop to risk a fixed dollar amount would also be appropriate.

A suggestion could be to place a stop below the low of the day at the time of entry for long trades, and above the high of the day at the time of entry for short trades. If this stop is too large, yoiu can substitute a money management stop ( expressed as a dollar amount ) of whatever size is comfortable for you and your account size. If you are not willing to risk at least $ 1000.00, you should probably not trade with this approach without further testing to see if it does work with smaller stops.

Some Notes:
Do not attempt to filter the system by trading in the direction of the longer-term trend. This is a concept you will see in most day trading literature. It is an intuitively attractive idea, but research shows the longer term trend has no significant effect on day trading.
An easy way to increase profits is to wait until the next day’s open to exit. By holding overnight research has showed that profitability increased by as much as 50%.

Source: Anthony Faragasso

Trading System – Vierjamal 4P+2P+4S April 10, 2008

Posted by ilmusaham in Trading Resources, Trading System.
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Kali ini saya menampilkan Trading System yang dinamakan dengan “vierjamal simple trading concept” dari Pak Vier.

Vierjamal Trading System

Sistemnya cukup sederhana dengan memanfaatkan indikator-indikator teknikal sederhana namun powerful, juga memanfaatkan chart pattern incl. candlestick. Selain itu juga sistem identifikasi trend dengan stage analysis.

Berikut sistemnya:

Silakan pelajari di blog: http://vierjamal.blogspot.com

Regards.

Budi Wiyono

budiw.co.cc