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PGAS Case Study Sep 10, 2009 September 10, 2009

Posted by ilmusaham in from CLUB, from Stock Expert.
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By: Ratman

Waktu yang saya tunggu2 PGAS hit all time high dimana saya akan beli lagi PGAS telah tiba.

Gambar berikut ini cara saya mengikuti jejak Bandar PGAS

  1. Kotak pertama menunjukan kekuatan supply and demand (Bidd/Offer) pada waktu pengambilan keputusan jam 14:15
  2. Kotak kedua menunjukan apakah terjadi Net Buy (Akumulasi) atau Net sell (Distribusi). Didalam kaitan ini yang terjadi adalah Asing (Fg) melakukan Net Buy yang besar sekali. Sell volum asing kecil seali yaitu ML  sebanyak 6200 lot.
  3. Kotak ketiga menujukan broker-broker mana saja yang berperan dan berapa banyak mereka melakukan pembelian atau penjualan
  4. Kotak keempat menujukan diharga –harga berapa saja terjadi transaksi dan berapa banyak transaksinya

Semuany dilakukan dengan OLTS dengan klik sana klik sini dalam waktu singkat dan transaksipun dilakukan dengan menekan tombol buy

Target price jangka panjang adalah berdasarkan QUIZ Cup and handle PGAS yang salah satu jawabannya telah disampaikan satu member yaitu ditambahkan dengan dalamnya Cup. Maka target jangka panjang adalah sekitar 5500.  Seingat saya pada waktu posting EW, target ini tidak jauh dari target EW

Ini cara saya jadi tidak usah diikuti dan tentu saja yang lain memiliki caranya masing2

pgas-10Sep09-case

Chaos Analysis by Bill Williams September 10, 2009

Posted by ilmusaham in Trading Resources.
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Chaos Analysis  by Bill Williams

Download:

Chaos Analysis

Trading with ICHIMOKU September 8, 2009

Posted by ilmusaham in Shared Lessons Learned, Trading Resources, Useful Tools, from CLUB.
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Lesson from Djoni Agus:

  • June 10th 2008:  STRONG SELL SIGNAL
  • March 18th 2009:  STRONG BUY SIGNAL, golden cross above the Kumo
  • Sept 07th 2009: WEAK SIGNAL, golden cross still above the Kumo

ICHIMOKU_JKSE_JUNE_1008_MAR_18SEPT07

Ichimoku AFL, source: Amibroker AFL Library

—

_SECTION_BEGIN(“IchimokuBrian20080624″);
/*
ICHIMOKU CHART
A bullish signal occurs when the Tenkan-Sen (RED line) crosses the Kijun-Sen (BLUE line) from below.
Conversely, a bearish Signal is issued when the Tenkan-Sen crosses the Kijun-Sen from above.
Support and resistance levels are shown as Kumo (or clouds). The Kumo can also be used to help identify
the prevailing trend of the market. If the price line is above the Kumo, the prevailing trend is said to be up,
while if the price is below the Kumo, the prevailing trend is said to be down. The default colour here for the clouds is
light blue – but the hue, etc, parameters can be adjusted to suit the user’s display.
The theory is that the bullish signals are strong when the TL,SL cross occurs above the cloud; it is medium within the
cloud, and weak if it occurs below the cloud. These are shown here as green solid up arrows, green up triangles and hollow
indigo up arrows respectiveley.
Conversely, the bearish signals are said to be strong when the cross is below the cloud and weak when above. These signals
are plotted as down red arrows or triangles, or brown hollw down arrows.
As an attempt at clarity on a cluttered plot, all signal arrows, etc are plotted within the clouds (rather than near the
candles as is normal). The user can also toggle between a candle plot or a line plot of the close price, to reduce
the clutter somewhat.
A final feature of the Ichimoku chart is the VIOLET line, or Chikou Span (or Lagging Span). It is said that this line
indicates the strength of the buy or sell signal. If the Chikou Span is below the closing price and a sell signal occurs,
then the strength is with sellers, otherwise it is a weak sell signal. Conversely, if a buy signal occurs and the Chikou
Span is above the price, then there is strength to the upside. These considerations could  be coupled with the other
signals, if desired, but this has not been done here.
Final Comment: This program produces quite a pretty graph – but I have not so far been impressed with the signals!
I have seen many weak signals followed by strong moves and strong signals followed by weak moves. Typical of technical
analysis I guess. If anyone finds the Ichimoku approach useful I would be keen to hear about it.
*/
SL = ( HHV( H, 26 ) + LLV( L, 26) )/2;// standard, base, or kijun-sen line
TL = ( HHV( H, 9 ) + LLV( L, 9 ) )/2;// turning, conversion, or tenkan-sen line
DL = Ref( C, 25 ); // delayed close price, or chikou span
Span1 = Ref( ( SL + TL )/2, -25 ); //Span1 and Span2 define the clouds
Span2 = Ref( (HHV( H, 52) + LLV(L, 52))/2, -25);
CStyle = ParamToggle(“Showcandles?”,”N|Y”);//Choose Candle or Line for Price plot
hue = Param(“Hue”,140,0,255,1);
sat = Param(“Sat”,100,0,255,1);
bri = Param(“bri”,220,0,255,1);
MaxGraph = 8;
Refline = (Span1 + Span2)/2;
Graph0 = Refline;
Graph0Style = 16;//No line plotted, used as a reference line for arrows etc.
if(Cstyle )
Plot(C,”Price”,colorBlack,styleCandle);
else
Plot(Close,”Close”,colorBlack,styleThick);
Plot(SL,”SL”,colorBlue,styleThick);
Plot(TL,”TL”,colorRed,styleThick);
Plot(DL,”DL”,colorLime,styleThick);
PlotOHLC(Span1,Span1,Span2,Span2,”Cloud”,ColorHSB(Hue,sat,bri),styleCloud);
above = IIf(TL>Span1 AND TL>Span2,1,0);
within = IIf(TL>Span1 AND TL<Span2,1,0);
below = IIf(TL<Span1 AND TL<Span2,1,0);
Buy = Cross(TL,SL) AND (DL>Close);
Sell = Cross(SL,TL) AND (DL<SL);
StrongBuy = Buy AND above;
MediumBuy = Buy AND within;
WeakBuy = Buy AND below;
StrongSell = Sell AND below;
MediumSell = Sell AND within;
WeakSell = Sell AND above;
IIf( (StrongBuy),PlotShapes(shapeUpTriangle*StrongBuy,colorGreen),0);
IIf( (MediumBuy),PlotShapes(shapeUpArrow*MediumBuy,colorGreen),0);
IIf( (WeakBuy),PlotShapes(shapeHollowUpArrow*WeakBuy,colorIndigo),0);
IIf( (StrongSell),PlotShapes(shapeDownTriangle*StrongSell,colorRed),0);
IIf( (MediumSell),PlotShapes(shapeDownArrow*MediumSell,colorRed),0);
IIf( (WeakSell),PlotShapes(shapeHollowDownArrow*WeakSell,colorBrown),0);
_SECTION_END();