jump to navigation

Frequency Analyzer™ for ISX May 31, 2008

Posted by ilmusaham in Useful Tools.
Tags: ,
add a comment

Mau kasih tau aja ada freeware sederhana, kali aja ada yang minat.

Bisa di download di: http://www.mediafire.com/?t0wumqegdfo

Setelah download, jalanin filenya dan extract ke C:\freqanalyzer

Market lagi ngga fun, jadi saya pilih minggir sambil iseng-iseng bikin tools kecil, seperti yang waktu itu pake excel. Datanya bisa langsung di stock split (bila ada), dan langsung download dari website BEI. Feedback dan commentnya ditunggu.

Thanks.

Regards,
Dean Earwicker

My Darvas Box Backtesting for ISX May 29, 2008

Posted by ilmusaham in Backtesting, My Corner.
Tags: ,
add a comment

Backtesting date: 29/05/2008.
By: Budi Wiyono

Here is the result.
Pls give me comment & feedback.

Result Summaries (sorted by %Profit)

Darvas Box Backtesting for ISX Detail Result

Larry Williams OOPS System May 27, 2008

Posted by ilmusaham in Trading Resources, Trading System, Tutorial.
Tags: , , ,
add a comment

Larry Williams OOPS System….

I also posting the system definitions….

Please have a look and revert with interpretations
….

//OOPS system
//A first Attempt
//A Second Attempt

SetTradeDelays(0,0,0,0);

shortsetup=Open > Ref(H,-1);
buysetup=Open < Ref(L,-1);

ShortPrice=ValueWhen(shortsetup, Ref(H,-1));
BuyPrice=ValueWhen(buysetup,Ref(L,-1));

Buy=buysetup AND BuyPrice;
Sell= C;
Short=shortsetup AND SellPrice;
Cover= C;

Equity(1);

Filter=1;
AddColumn(IIf(buysetup==1,BuyPrice,0),”BuyPrice”);
AddColumn(IIf(shortsetup==1,ShortPrice,0),”ShortPrice”);
AddColumn(Shortsetup,”ShortSetup”);
AddColumn(Buysetup,”BuySetup”);
/***************************************************/

SYSTEM DEFINITIONS:

This system by Larry Williams..I believe ( was / is ) set up to be a day Trading system…

Here is what I have in the way of the systems definitions.

The OOPS system:
While originally conceived as a day trading system, Larry now prefers to trade it past the end of the day, holding his position sometimes for 2 or 3 days.

The SETUP:
To trade OOPS, just watch the open. You will have a potential trade any time a market opens by gapping above the previous day’s high or gapping below the previous day’s low.

  • If the open is above the previous day’s high, you have a potential SELL. (… Shortsetup=Open > ref(High,-1)…) .
  • If the open is below the previous day’s low, you have a potential BUY.  (…Buysetup=Open < ref(Low,-1)…).

What you are looking for is the market to close the Gap. At approximately that point, you enter your position and hold until the close.

The theory of the trade is that the gap is caused by the public being too enthusiastic on the opening and causing a gap that cannot be sustained. When the gap closes, those on the wrong side of the market say, OOPS, and rush to cover their trades. This causes an increase in momentum that lasts for the rest of the day.
There are several issues to consider in trading the system. First is the question of how big the gap should be before a trade becomes attractive. Obviously, the smaller the gap, the less attractive the trade appears and the more difficult it is to execute. Therefore, you should require some minimum size opening gap before you would consider a trade.

The ENTRY:
Second is the question of exactly where do you enter. Larry recommends entering at the previous day’s extreme, exactly at the point where the gap is closed. …..( ******….I believe my original code logic posted last night was in error here (…

BuyPrice=ValueWhen(shortsetup,Ref(H,-1))…) or
(…ShortPrice=ValueWhen(buysetup,Ref(L,-1))…)….should have
read..(buyprice=valuewhen(buysetup, ref(L,-1)) and
shortprice=valuewhen(shortsetup,ref(H,-1))….***).

The PROTECTIVE STOP:
Third is the question of a protective stop. Of course, you should always use one. A natural point would be the day’s extreme high at the time you go short or the day’s extreme low at the time you go long. A money management stop to risk a fixed dollar amount would also be appropriate.

A suggestion could be to place a stop below the low of the day at the time of entry for long trades, and above the high of the day at the time of entry for short trades. If this stop is too large, yoiu can substitute a money management stop ( expressed as a dollar amount ) of whatever size is comfortable for you and your account size. If you are not willing to risk at least $ 1000.00, you should probably not trade with this approach without further testing to see if it does work with smaller stops.

Some Notes:
Do not attempt to filter the system by trading in the direction of the longer-term trend. This is a concept you will see in most day trading literature. It is an intuitively attractive idea, but research shows the longer term trend has no significant effect on day trading.
An easy way to increase profits is to wait until the next day’s open to exit. By holding overnight research has showed that profitability increased by as much as 50%.

Source: Anthony Faragasso

Intraday Trading using Pivot Points May 9, 2008

Posted by ilmusaham in My Corner, Trading Resources, Trading System.
Tags: , ,
1 comment so far

Jika anda ingin investasi saham baik saham long/medium term yang anda trading-kan (beli, harga naik kemudian jual, kemudian koreksi dan buyback, dst..)…, anda keluar masuk di saham yang sama.

atau anda ingin menjadi short term trader? dengan saham berbeda-beda, lompat sana – lompat sini, seperti kutu loncat.

Motivasi apa yang melatarbelakngi short term trading?

Pivot points are especially useful to shortterm traders who are looking to take advantage of small price movements.

Sebagai gambaran: Harga saham x =3000, saham tersebut harganya bolak-balik 3000-3100, balik ke 3000 – naik lagi ke 3100, turun lagi ke 3000, balik lagi ke 3100 dan close di 3100.

  • Bagi swinger yang swing entri dan exit bisa profit 100+100+100=rp.300. Bagi swinger saham x seolah-olah sudah naik dari 3000 ke 3300 (=3000+300) , gain= 10%.
  • Bagi pemain Buy and hold tanpa swing: profit = rp.100, kenaikan harga saham “x” 3000 ke 3100, gain=3.3%.

Short term trading tersebut bagaimana strateginya? Saham apa yang bisa di buy/sell dan di harga berapa buy/sell nya?

Strategi yang bisa di ambil:

  1. Calculate pivot point and support/resistance levels.
  2. Determine the direction of the daily and weekly trend.
  3. Set profit objectives and stops.
  4. Wait 20 to 30 minutes after the market opens for prices to stabilize.
  5. Enter long positions if the trend is up and price is turning in an upward direction from the pivot.
  6. Enter short positions if the trend is down and price is turning in a downward direction from the pivot

Selengkapnya silakan anda implementasikan tutorial berikut, tutorial short term trading system klasik yang simple namun powerful, sehingga anda lebih safe dan tentu saja profit.

Pivot Points by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan

Untuk memudahkan kalkulasi Pivot Points, jika anda pengguna amibroker silakan menggunakan SUPER PIVOT POINTS.afl sebagai alat bantu penentuan titik-titik pivot, support dan resistannya, afl dapat di download di: http://www.amibroker.com/library/formula.php?id=758

Selamat mencoba,

Budi Wiyono

budiw.co.cc

Daytrade Tutorial (FIND SUPPORT & RESISTANCE) May 7, 2008

Posted by ilmusaham in Trading Resources, Tutorial.
Tags: , , , ,
add a comment

Sebenarnya utk daytrade tidaklah sulit, saya sudah coba mempermudahnya dengan memberikan proyeksi range pergerakan esok harinya, kalau kita sudah membuat proyeksinya maka kita tinggal sabar menunggu apakah support atau resistance yg duluan tersentuh, bila opening langsung menyentuh R3 maka pastikan apakah opening = high, bila demikian maka biasanya pasar akan koreksi bila volume tidak cukup kuat merubah resistance menjadi support, contoh hari ini IDX opening gap up menyentuh R3 seharusnya kita sadar bahwa IDX akan segera turun bila volume tdk cukup kuat, nah ini juga berlaku pada saham2 yang lainnya, banyak sekali hari ini yg masih kejebak juga padahal rumusnya sdh saya share bahkan yang menggunakan software amibroker titik2 proyeksi esok harinya sdh bisa dilihat dengan jelas.

Bagi yang menggunakan Metastock Pak Blin sdh membuat alat bantunya “Supirevier” Jangan bingung2 ikuti saja pasar jangan melawan arah pasar bisa babak belur kita. Bila anda mengincar saham A kemudian openingnya gap up sebaiknya anda bersabar dulu tidak usah buru2 masuk, baca volumenya agar anda bisa enter/exit at the right time. Coba sekali lagi karena kegaglan yg anda buat itu uang sekolah yg nilainya besar sekali. jangan ulangi kesalahan2 yg sdh anda lakukan.

Source: http://vierjamal.blogspot.com